Score Thresholds Explained: What +4, +8.5, and -4 Really Mean
The Scoring Scale
Every stock on WSOB receives a score from -10 to +10:
- +10 = Maximum bullish momentum
- 0 = Neutral / no directional edge
- -10 = Maximum bearish momentum
But not all score levels are equal. Certain thresholds mark important transitions that change how you should trade.
The Key Thresholds
The +4 / -4 Line: Regime Boundary
This is the most important threshold. Crossing +4 (or -4) typically marks a regime change:
- Above +4: Bullish regime. Momentum is clearly to the upside.
- Below -4: Bearish regime. Momentum is clearly to the downside.
- Between -4 and +4: Range. No strong directional edge.
Action at +4: When a stock's score crosses above +4 from below, it's a potential entry signal. When it drops below +4 from above, it's a caution signal.
The +8.5 / -8.5 Line: Strong Bullish / Strong Bearish
Stocks scoring above +8.5 (or below -8.5) are in strong momentum territory:
- Nearly all scoring components are aligned in the same direction
- These stocks have broad, sustained momentum — not just a one-day spike
- Pullbacks tend to be shallow and short-lived
- The trend usually continues for weeks
Action at +8.5: These are your highest-conviction trades. Consider adding to positions on dips. For shorts, scores below -8.5 are equally strong. Maintain positions but trail stops — when these scores eventually reverse, the move can be sharp.
Note: The 8.5 threshold is a guideline, not a hard rule. Different stocks and sectors behave differently — some may show strong momentum at +7, while others need +9 to confirm a sustained trend. Use 8.5 as a starting point and adjust based on your own observations and trading style.
The Zero Line: Directional Shift
When a score crosses zero, the overall bias is flipping:
- A stock moving from -2 to +2 is shifting from bearish to bullish bias
- This doesn't always mean the stock will trend — it might enter a range
- But it's worth watching for follow-through
Action at 0: Not an entry signal by itself, but a signal to start monitoring the stock for a potential regime change at +4.
Score Velocity Matters Too
It's not just the absolute score that matters — it's how fast it's changing:
- Slow grind higher (e.g., +2 → +3 → +4 over two weeks): Steady, sustainable momentum
- Fast spike (e.g., +1 → +6 in two days): Possibly news-driven, may not sustain
- Steady decline (e.g., +8 → +6 → +4): Momentum is fading, time to reassess
Putting It All Together
| Score Range | Regime | Action |
|---|---|---|
| > +8.5 | Strong Bullish | Highest conviction — hold/add on dips, trail stops |
| +4 to +10 | Bullish | Enter on pullbacks, hold/add on dips, trail stops |
| -4 to +4 | Range | Wait, reduce size, watch for breakout |
| -10 to -4 | Bearish | Short on bounces, buy puts, or avoid |
| < -8.5 | Strong Bearish | Highest conviction short — strong downtrend in place |
Key Takeaways
- +4 / -4 is the most important threshold — it marks regime boundaries
- +8.5 / -8.5 marks strong bullish / strong bearish territory — highest conviction
- The higher the score above +4 (or lower below -4), the stronger the conviction
- Score velocity (speed of change) adds important context
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